Moreton Bay North property prices have doubled in 10 years - what’s driving the growth?

Moreton Bay North property prices have doubled in 10 years. Discover the drivers behind this growth and why it’s a smart region for investors.

Over the past decade, Moreton Bay North has evolved into one of South East Queensland’s most dynamic and desirable property markets. With its unique blend of coastal lifestyle, urban access and affordability, the region continues to attract families, upgraders and investors - and the numbers prove it.

According to the PropTrack Stockland Regional Snapshot: Moreton Bay North (September 2025), median home prices have more than doubled in 10 years, with both houses and units recording 126% growth between June 2015 and June 2025. Over the past year alone, house prices rose 8% and unit prices 13%.

So, what’s driving this growth - and what does the next decade hold?

(Source: PropTrack Automated Valuation Model, June 2005–June 2025).

Population growth powering demand

Between June 2014 and June 2024, Moreton Bay North’s population grew by 56,411 people - a 24% increase in just 10 years. In the year to June 2024 alone, another 8,160 residents moved into the region

(Source: ABS, Regional Population 2023–24 Financial Year, released 27 March 2025).

This surge has created steady demand for housing. Census data confirms family households make up 72% of the region, while four-bedroom homes represent 39.7% of all occupied dwellings - both well above the Greater Brisbane average

(Source: ABS, 2021 Census of Population and Housing, Moreton Bay – North).

Affordability advantage

Despite strong gains, Moreton Bay North remains one of the most affordable major growth corridors in SEQ. The median house price sits at $825k, compared to around $950k across Greater Brisbane.

This affordability continues to draw:

• First-home buyers priced out of inner-city markets,
• Up-sizers wanting more space, and
• Investors seeking yields of 4.5–5.5%.

Rental growth tells the same story. Median house rents reached $640 per week (+6.7% YoY) and unit rents $500 (+4.2% YoY) - up more than 60% over five years.

(Source: PropTrack Automated Valuation Model, June 2005 – June 2025).

Migration & lifestyle shifts

Population growth has been fuelled by interstate and regional migration. Buyers from Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane’s north are moving for space, affordability and proximity to the coast.

Master-planned communities such as Stockland Kinma Valley (Morayfield) - 2,500 homes for 6,500 residents - and Stockland Rivermont (Caboolture West) - 2,050 homes across six villages - are redefining the local landscape. Together they’ll add more than 4,500 homes and 53 hectares of parkland, retail and community space (Source: Stockland project data as at 19 August 2025).

Buyer demand also skews heavily toward family-sized homes: 51% of enquiries are for 4-bedroom homes and 13% for 5 or more.

(Source: PropTrack analysis of enquiries and listings on realestate.com.au, 12 months ending June 2025).

Infrastructure investment reshaping the region

Billions in infrastructure upgrades are enhancing the region’s connectivity and appeal.

Key projects include:

• Bruce Highway upgrades improving access to Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast.
• Caboolture West (Waraba) masterplan for 70,000 future residents.
• Train line improvements through Caboolture and Morayfield.
• Local town centres, medical hubs and education facilities in new communities like Kinma Valley and Rivermont.
• These initiatives are reshaping liveability and underpinning long-term property growth

(Source: Stockland Community Spotlight, 2025).

Outperforming Greater Brisbane

Moreton Bay North has consistently outperformed Greater Brisbane in both house and unit value growth.

(Source: PropTrack Automated Valuation Model June 2005 – June 2025.)

For investors, that means stronger capital gains potential at a lower entry price - and historically higher yields.

The 2032 Olympics effect

As South-East Queensland prepares for the 2032 Brisbane Olympic Games, infrastructure and amenity upgrades are expected to further lift housing demand and global visibility.

According to PropTrack’s Regional Snapshot, these Olympic-linked improvements will enhance transport, urban renewal and regional connectivity.

(Source: PropTrack Stockland Regional Snapshot 2025 – Economic Outlook section).

Future outlook: steady growth ahead

The fundamentals remain solid:

• Population +24% (10 yrs) continues to drive demand.
• Vacancy rates tight, with listings averaging 43 days on market.
• Queensland undersupply of 39% in new housing delivery

With affordability pressures in Greater Brisbane, many buyers are likely to continue migrating north - sustaining steady price and rental growth through 2030 and beyond.

Building your investment strategy

For investors, building new in Moreton Bay North offers clear advantages:

• Fixed-price contracts provide budget certainty.
• Modern, energy-efficient designs attract quality tenants.
• Low maintenance means lower ongoing costs.

Choosing a builder who understands the region’s planning and buyer profile ensures your investment is positioned for long-term success.

Final thoughts

Over the past decade, Moreton Bay North has outperformed Greater Brisbane, supported by migration, infrastructure and lifestyle appeal. With new master-planned communities under way and the Olympics on the horizon, this northern corridor is poised to remain one of Queensland’s most promising investment zones.

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References

• PropTrack Stockland Regional Snapshot: Moreton Bay North, September 2025. Prepared by Anne Flaherty, REA Group Senior Economist.
• Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS): Regional Population 2023–24 Financial Year (Released 27 March 2025); 2021 Census of Population and Housing – Moreton Bay North.
• PropTrack Automated Valuation Model, June 2005 – June 2025.
• PropTrack Housing Affordability Report, August 2024.
• Stockland Community Spotlight – Kinma Valley & Rivermont (Updated 19 August 2025).